Monday, February 10, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Final Thoughts

"Once you get past the 1-inch tall barrier of subtitles, you will be introduced to so many more amazing films." - Three-time Academy Award Winning Director Bong Joon-ho

Parasite has cemented itself as not only a history maker, but also as one of the greatest Best Picture winners in the Academy's history, and the category's first non-english victor. Winning 4 Oscars altogether, also including a surprise win in Best Director over Sam Mendes who had been winning everything else, Bong Joon-ho's brilliant film proved to be the favorite of even subtitle-hating voters, cementing its status as a soon to be classic that will looked up to for years to come. Also, shout out to Bong's translator Sharon Choi, who's film about the awards season is one I'll be watching for!

The rest of the show's winners proved to be mostly satisfactory as well, albeit pretty predictable.

First, however, let me start with the 4 acting winners, easily the most predictable wins of the bunch, and honestly a little underwhelming this year considering who they were up against. Joaquin Phoenix won Lead Actor for Joker, a win that will certainly be divisive years from now as it is currently, though I'm glad that he took this one even with his competition, although he's been better before (*cough* The Master *cough*). Then Renée Zellweger won Lead Actress for Judy, and this is where I get disappointed. She was great, despite her film being more of the opposite, but when compared to Saoirse Ronan in Little Women and Scarlett Johansson in Marriage Story she was easily forgettable. Finally we have our Supporting winners Brad Pitt and Laura Dern, with Pitt winning for a great performance, but one I don't think should've won over Joe Pesci or Al Pacino, and Dern winning for one I just don't see the awards love for, but at least she has an Oscar I guess.

Tech category winners, on the other hand, were pretty deserving. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood won Best Production Design for easily the best recreation of golden-age Hollywood ever, with sets that glowed with personality and charm; a very deserving win in my book. And Little Women very thankfully took home Best Costume Design, another well-earned win, though I more happy that the film won at least something than I am that it won for costumes specifically.

Film Editing was awarded to Ford v Ferrari, which was...a decision. Look, I think the film is fine, but the editing outside of the racing scenes was nothing special, and it honestly should've trimmed its runtime down more. I think editing was far more notable in Parasite and The Irishman. But I am fine with it surprising in Sound Editing over 1917, so I'm not too bitter towards it.

Speaking of 1917, the film many expected to be tonight's big winner only to be Bonged, the film unsurprisingly took home Best Cinematography, giving Roger Deakins another deserving Oscar. It also won for Best Visual Effects, which were basically unnoticeable in the film, which is typically a sign that good effects were present. Sadly, Thomas Newman was shut out again, with Joker winning Best Original Score instead, which had a good score, but I swear, Newman could resurrect Beethoven and the Academy wouldn't care.

Finally, Jojo Rabbit was this year's solo screenplay winner, getting comedy filmmaker Taika Waititi his first win, which. And even though I didn't love the film, I must admit that I am happy for the guy.

Welp, that all of the wins that each of the major nominees this year had! Except for The Irishman of course, which won for.....uh.....


Man, this hurts. It's no secret at this point that Scorsese's latest was my favorite film of last year, and watching it get rejected not only by the Oscar, but by other awards shows as well has been rough. It's surprising too; given how far Netflix went to campaign and how beloved it's been online, but I suppose it's what it is.

Thankfully, Bong Joon-ho once again made the night, as during his acceptance speech for Best Director, he quoted and praised Martin Scorsese, prompting the entire audience to give the legend a standing ovation. In all honesty, that's probably better than any Oscar win can ever be.

See you next year folks, and in the meantime I'm gonna be saving up my money to buy 10 copies of The Irishman's Criterion Collection release.

Sunday, February 9, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Final Predictions


The time has come. Here are my final predictions for the Oscars 2020.
(NOTE: Films with an asterisk (*) next to them are my personal picks for their respective category)
(ALSO NOTE: I might change some of these mere hours before the show starts because I'm a coward, and if I do I'll leave a note under the changed category saying that I did with an explanation)

Best Picture
  1. Parasite
  2. 1917
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. The Irishman*
  5. Jojo Rabbit
  6. Joker
  7. Marriage Story
  8. Little Women
  9. Ford v Ferrari
It's clear that this race is almost entirely between 1917 and Parasite at this point, with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood trailing close behind. And 1917 seems like the frontrunner with PGA and DGA wins, I think the preferential ballot will be kind to Parasite. The only thing really holding it back is the fact that it's a non-english film competing in a year where the possibility for major diversity was basically ignored. But, considering the love it's been able to garner from not just awards guilds but from literally everyone who can read period, I think we're about to see history right there.

Best Director
  1. Sam Mendes - 1917
  2. Bong Joon-ho - Parasite
  3. Martin Scorsese - The Irishman*
  4. Quentin Tarantino - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Todd Phillips - Joker
Best Lead Actor
  1. Joaquin Phoenix - Joker*
  2. Adam Driver - Marriage Story
  3. Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
  4. Leonardo DiCaprio - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Jonathan Pryce - The Two Popes
Best Lead Actress
  1. Renée Zellweger - Judy
  2. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story
  3. Saoirse Ronan - Little Women*
  4. Cynthia Erivo - Harriet
  5. Charlize Theron - Bombshell
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Joe Pesci - The Irishman*
  3. Al Pacino - The Irishman
  4. Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
  5. Anthony Hopkins - The Two Popes
Best Supporting Actress
  1. Laura Dern - Marriage Story
  2. Florence Pugh - Little Women*
  3. Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit
  4. Margot Robbie - Bombshell
  5. Kathy Bates - Richard Jewell
Best Original Screenplay
  1. Parasite*
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Marriage Story
  4. Knives Out
  5. 1917
Parasite is clearly the crowd favorite here, especially after WGA and BAFTA wins, but the Academy's Tarantino love could easily pull through, especially given his film is about Hollywood. I'm tempted to go Hollywood here, but considering that Parasite is looking like the bigger player as of late and that it could very well win Best Picture, I'll go with that instead, but I won't be surprised if I'm wrong.

Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Jojo Rabbit
  2. Little Women
  3. The Irishman*
  4. Joker
  5. The Two Popes
Jojo Rabbit has gained some major momentum over Little Women after taking home the previously mentioned awards Parasite did. And films with the WGA and BAFTA combo here have rarely, if not ever lost the Oscar, so Taika Waititi better have a speech ready.

Best Film Editing
  1. Ford v Ferrari
  2. Parasite
  3. The Irishman*
  4. Joker
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Best Cinematography
  1. 1917
  2. Joker
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. The Irishman
  5. The Lighthouse*
Best Original Score
  1. Joker
  2. 1917
  3. Little Women*
  4. Marriage Story
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Original Song
  1. "I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away" - Toy Story 4
  2. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again" - Rocketman
  3. "Stand Up" - Harriet
  4. "Into the Unknown" - Frozen II
  5. "I'm Standing With You" - Breakthrough
Probably my riskiest prediction here. Although Rocketman's success here in precursors shows, it doesn't seem like the Academy will go for it, especially after it was left out in all other categories. The three I listed below it don't feel like winners to me either. That leaves Toy Story 4, which just snuck in here last minute, and given the Academy's past love for Pixar songs and that this is a short season in general, I think it's a bet worth playing. I'm a natural Howard Ratner!

Best Production Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. 1917
  3. Parasite*
  4. The Irishman
  5. Jojo Rabbit
It doesn't quite feel right that Once Upon a Time in Hollywood wins Supporting Actor and Production Design only as the combo just seems odd to me. However, given that we see this result for Lincoln, I think I'll stick by it. If not, then there's three possibilities: it also takes costumes (which I find unlikely as I think all the Best Picture nominees are winning something), it loses this category to 1917 (or possibly Parasite, but I doubt it), or it also wins Original Screenplay over Parasite, effectively making 1917 the Best Picture winner.

Best Costume Design
  1. Little Women*
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Jojo Rabbit
  4. The Irishman
  5. Joker
Playing it safe and sticking with Jacqueline Durran winning her second Oscar, but don't be surprised if Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or Jojo Rabbit win instead (Hollywood in particular), especially considering that this category is all over the place this year.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  1. Bombshell
  2. Joker
  3. Judy
  4. 1917*
  5. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Best Visual Effects
  1. The Irishman*
  2. 1917
  3. Avengers: Endgame
  4. The Lion King
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
This category is pretty much between 1917 and The Irishman. 1917 has the advantage in that it's won the BAFTA, but I feel that The Irishman will prevail despite the de-aging's divisiveness, especially after it's Visual Effects Society win for Best Supporting Effects, which lead major awards players from previous years Hugo and last year's First Man to win here despite losing BAFTA, Critics Choice, etc. 

Best Sound Mixing
  1. 1917*
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. Ad Astra
  5. Joker
Best Sound Editing
  1. 1917*
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Joker
  4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Animated Film
  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Klaus
  3. Missing Link
  4. I Lost My Body
  5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Best International Film
  1. Parasite*
  2. The Rest
Best Documentary Feature
  1. American Factory
  2. For Sama
  3. Honeyland
  4. The Edge of Democracy
  5. The Cave
Best Live Action Short Film
  1. The Neighbor's Window
  2. Brotherhood
  3. Nefta Football Club
  4. Saria
  5. A Sister
Best Animated Short Film
  1. Hair Love
  2. Kitbull
  3. Memorable
  4. Sister
  5. Daughter
Best Documentary Short Subject
  1. Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)
  2. St. Louis Superman
  3. In the Absence
  4. Walk Run Cha-Cha
  5. Life Overtakes Me
IN SHORT:
  • I'm being risky and saying Parasite will make history instead of 1917 prevailing
  • Acting winners are insanely predictable
  • Costume Design is a tricky race
  • All 9 Best Picture nominees will win something
  • The Academy probably still loves Pixar songs
  • Insert 6th point with quirky comment here

Friday, January 17, 2020

Oscars 2020 - First Winner Predictions

CLICK HERE TO SEE MY OVERALL THOUGHTS ON THE NOMINATIONS
If you are interested in further thoughts on any of the categories, please comment below and I'll get to you as soon as possible.

Best Picture
  1. 1917
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Parasite
  4. The Irishman
  5. Joker
  6. Marriage Story
  7. Little Women
  8. Jojo Rabbit
  9. Ford v Ferrari
Best Director
  1. Sam Mendes - 1917
  2. Quentin Tarantino - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Bong Joon-ho - Parasite
  4. Martin Scorsese - The Irishman
  5. Todd Phillips - Joker
Best Lead Actor
  1. Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
  2. Adam Driver - Marriage Story
  3. Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
  4. Leonardo DiCaprio - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Jonathan Pryce - The Two Popes
Best Lead Actress
  1. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story
  2. Renée Zellweger - Judy
  3. Saoirse Ronan - Little Women
  4. Cynthia Erivo - Harriet
  5. Charlize Theron - Bombshell
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Joe Pesci - The Irishman
  3. Al Pacino - The Irishman
  4. Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
  5. Anthony Hopkins - The Two Popes
Best Supporting Actress
  1. Laura Dern - Marriage Story
  2. Florence Pugh - Little Women
  3. Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit
  4. Margot Robbie - Bombshell
  5. Kathy Bates - Richard Jewell
Best Original Screenplay
  1. Parasite
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Marriage Story
  4. Knives Out
  5. 1917
Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Jojo Rabbit
  2. Little Women
  3. The Irishman
  4. Joker
  5. The Two Popes
Best Film Editing
  1. Ford v Ferrari
  2. The Irishman
  3. Joker
  4. Parasite
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Best Cinematography
  1. Joker
  2. 1917
  3. Little Women
  4. Marriage Story
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Original Song
  1. "I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away" - Toy Story 4
  2. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again" - Rocketman
  3. "Stand Up" - Harriet
  4. "Into the Unknown" - Frozen II
  5. "I'm Standing With You" - Breakthrough
Best Production Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. 1917
  3. The Irishman
  4. Parasite
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Best Costume Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Little Women
  3. Jojo Rabbit
  4. The Irishman
  5. Joker
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  1. Bombshell
  2. Joker
  3. Judy
  4. 1917
  5. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Best Visual Effects
  1. The Irishman
  2. 1917
  3. Avengers: Endgame
  4. The Lion King
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Sound Mixing
  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. Joker
  5. Ad Astra
Best Sound Editing
  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. Joker
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Animated Film
  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Missing Link
  3. I Lost My Body
  4. Klaus
  5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Best International Film
  1. Parasite
  2. The Rest
Best Documentary Film
  1. American Factory
  2. For Sama
  3. Honeyland
  4. The Edge of Democracy
  5. The Cave
Best Live Action Short Film
  1. The Neighbor's Window
  2. Brotherhood
  3. Nefta Football Club
  4. Saria
  5. Une soeur
Best Animated Short Film
  1. Hair Love
  2. Kitbull
  3. Daughter
  4. Mémorable
  5. Sister
Best Documentary Short Subject
  1. Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If Your a Girl)
  2. St. Louis Superman
  3. In the Absence
  4. Life Overtakes Me
  5. Walk Run Cha-Cha

Monday, January 13, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Nominations Thoughts


Welp, he didn't get nominated. Even with 10 nominations, The Irishman couldn't get De Niro in Lead Actor. Instead, we got Jonathan Pryce for The Two Popes, who admittedly gave a very effective performance, but no way would I put him in over De Niro, and I'm sure those who wanted Taron Egerton for Rocketman would agree. But at least DiCaprio got in despite my speculation, so there's that.

Apart from all that, though, I'm mostly fine with how this year's Oscar nominations turned out, even with a questionable leader.

Yeah, I actually liked Joker as I said in my review (even though my issues with it have since grown), but it absolutely should not have 11 nominations, one more than The Irishman, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, and 1917.

That being said, those previously mentioned three are easily our three frontrunners now, plus Parasite (which I'll get to in a bit). 1917 in particular scored an Original Screenplay nomination, a major indicator of its love among Academy voters, and given results from Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, this might be our new frontrunner. If not, then Once Upon a Time in Hollywood takes it instead. But both films missed film editing nominations, something only two Best Picture winners have missed over the past 30 years. If I had to pick, then 1917 would be my guess right now, as it gives me Birdman and Braveheart vibes, a very good sign of what may come.

Despite this, Thomas Newman may not get his long awaited Oscar for it after all, with Joker seeing a boost after winning the two previously mentioned award shows that loved 1917. He definitely still has a shot, but unless he wins BAFTA then it's over.

The Irishman thankfully didn't underperform like I worried it would (based on what some online folks were saying), but it hasn't really hit home with award shows right now. Even with Adapted Screenplay and Film Editing, it's starting to become more likely that those will go to Little Women or Jojo Rabbit and Ford v Ferrari respectively. So, chances are Visual Effects will be the only prize it will take home, unless DGA and PGA gives it some love.

And yes, I don't see it winning Adapted Screenplay with Little Women and Jojo Rabbit there. If I had to guess between the two, I'd say Jojo Rabbit right now. But I think it's possible for Little Women to surprise at BAFTAs with a Supporting Actress win for Florence Pugh, and if that lead her to an Oscar win, I would be delighted.

Another Netflix film, Marriage Story, got the 6 nominations everyone thought it would (though I feel foolish about putting Jojo Rabbit over it in Original Score), but Laura Dern seems to be the only thing pushing the film forward right now, with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Parasite seeming more likely in Screenplay now. It's likely that Johansson could make her way to the top with SAG over Zellweger, so perhaps there's more hope.

Speaking of Parasite, I was upset that Song Kang-ho didn't defy expectations to receive a Supporting Actor nomination, with Hopkins getting in instead. Other than it, it was able to score 6 nominations, including Film Editing which gives it a nice boost. And if any other film wins Best International Film, I will get a tattoo on my forehead.

The only Best Picture nominee I haven't touched on yet is Ford v Ferrari, which....uh.... got nominated. I don't have much to say on it, partly due to it being the only nominee I haven't seen, but I think it's going to win Film Editing, despite The Irishman having Thelma Schoonmaker.

Other noteworthy nominations I'd like to discuss would be Honeyland, which I believe is the first film to be nominated for both Best International Film and Best Documentary. It likely won't win either one (American Factory for Documentary), but it's pretty cool regardless.

Then in Best Animated Film, Klaus triumphed with a surprise nomination over Frozen II of all films, a big win for Netflix. But, it's much more likely that this will be Toy Story 4's win, given that it's Pixar and that it surprised in Best Original Song (which I initially predicted, but ultimately changed because of what I saw online. Thanks internet!).

Finally, I'd like to say just how happy I am that both The Lighthouse and Knives Out got solo nominations for Best Cinematography and Best Original Screenplay respectively. Just the words "Academy Award Nominee Rian Johnson" sound great!

Now, the fate of the winners lie in the hands of the Academy. Will they fulfill the prophecy, or mess it up again? .....they're gonna mess it up, aren't they? Ah well, whatever happens, hopefully The Irishman wins something.

Sunday, January 12, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Final Nominations Predictions

This is it. Tomorrow when the bell tolls 7, we'll know everything, and soon we'll be fighting over what deserved a nomination and what didn't and complaining as to why something didn't get nominated. I'm anxious and excited at the same time, to see my dreams come true to see others be sunk, but whatever happens.....at least we can make fun of the Academy afterwards.

Best Picture
  1. Parasite
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. The Irishman
  4. 1917
  5. Joker
  6. Marriage Story
  7. Little Women
  8. Jojo Rabbit
  9. Ford v Ferrari
I'm still banking on Parasite winning Best Picture for now just to be safe, despite Once Upon a Time in Hollywood's recent wins. I'm finally moving Jojo Rabbit back in here since its been able to mark all the right boxes so far, with the DGA nomination being the big one it needed.

Best Director
  1. Bong Joon-ho - Parasite
  2. Sam Mendes - 1917
  3. Martin Scorsese - The Irishman
  4. Quentin Tarantino - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Greta Gerwig - Little Women
Little Women has very thankfully gotten a big boost as of late, particularly with PGA and BAFTA nominations that benefit both its actors and the film's overall chances. And, since the 5th slot of this category is essentially up for grabs right now and the backlash Golden Globes got for a lack of female directing nominees, Gerwig seems like she'll fill that slot nicely.

Best Lead Actor
  1. Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
  2. Adam Driver - Marriage Story
  3. Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
  4. Taron Egerton - Rocketman
  5. Robert De Niro - The Irishman
Maybe I'm just being hopeful, but despite missing SAG and Golden Globe nominations, but I feel De Niro is still getting in. Not only is his film a big player, but his legacy is something I doubt they'll pass up.

Phoenix and Driver are clearly happening no matter what, and Banderas gives a performance I can't see not making it. That leaves Egerton and Leonardo DiCaprio for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, and DiCaprio, despite being nominated for everything so far, just doesn't have the enthusiasm behind him that the other 5 do that could boost De Niro and Banderas, and has had zero precursor wins so far, even losing the Comedy Golden Globe to Egerton. I wouldn't be surprised if he still got nominated, but I'm going by my gut and saying he'll miss.

Best Lead Actress
  1. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story
  2. Renée Zellweger - Judy
  3. Charlize Theron - Bombshell
  4. Saoirse Ronan - Little Women
  5. Cynthia Erivo - Harriet
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Joe Pesci - The Irishman
  3. Al Pacino - The Irishman
  4. Song Kang-ho - Parasite
  5. Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The three Ps are basically locked in at this point, and Kang-ho is easily the strongest candidate for "got nominated for nothing else but the Oscar" nominee. That leaves the fifth spot for Hanks and Anthony Hopkins in The Two Popes to fight out. Hanks has been left in the dirt by the Academy for some time now, but the fact that he's playing Mr. Rogers and that his wonderful Golden Globe honorary award speech was right in the middle of Oscar voting, I finally feel safe saying that he's going to get an Oscar nomination again.

Best Supporting Actress
  1. Laura Dern - Marriage Story
  2. Margot Robbie - Bombshell
  3. Florence Pugh - Little Women
  4. Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit
  5. Kathy Bates - Richard Jewell
No J-Lo? I can't help but feel that a snub is awaiting her, with the "got nominated for everything but BAFTA and then missing the Oscar nomination" curse just yelling at me here, the same fate that awaited James Franco for The Disaster Artist and Timothée Chalamet for Beautiful Boy. Who gets in over here is a different story, but I'm going with Kathy Bates, as despite her film bombing financially and being passed over entirely by Critics Choice, SAG, and BAFTA, I think that her overall appeal will speak to the Academy.

Best Original Screenplay
  1. Parasite
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Marriage Story
  4. Knives Out
  5. The Farewell
Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. The Irishman
  2. Little Women
  3. Jojo Rabbit
  4. The Two Popes
  5. Joker
It pains me to leave out A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood here, but The Two Popes screenplay will undoubtedly appeal to Academy voters more, and Joker is far too well-liked in the industry. Although Joker could miss due to it being a comic book film, even then I Just Mercy pulling off a nomination-upset instead, given the Green Book-type appeal of the film.

Best Film Editing
  1. Ford v Ferrari
  2. The Irishman
  3. Parasite
  4. Joker
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Best Cinematography
  1. 1917
  2. Joker
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. The Lighthouse
  5. The Irishman
That fifth spot has been difficult to figure out, with Portrait of a Lady on Fire and A Hidden Life also seeming like likely solo-nomination candidates here, and Ford v Ferrari appearing at all the right precursors also. But I'm going with The Lighthouse, since the black and white appeal has gotten multiple films in this category as of late, and a BAFTA nomination for it really helps. The Irishman I feel is less safe, since it's cinematography is not one of the big things that comes to mind when people think of the film, and with Ford v Ferrari certainly having the momentum to best it, but I think I'll go with Scorsese's film considering it's been showing up here more.

Best Original Score
  1. 1917
  2. Joker
  3. Little Women
  4. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Predicting that Jojo Rabbit will surprise and get nominated over Marriage Story, because if the BAFTAs nominated BlacKkKlansman over First Man the year before (which ended up leading to a shocking snub for the astronaut film), then recent history could very well repeat itself.

Best Original Song
  1. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again" - Rocketman
  2. "Into the Unknown" - Frozen II
  3. "Stand Up" - Harriet
  4. "I'm Standing With You" - Breakthrough
  5. "Glasgow" - Wild Rose
Best Production Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. The Irishman
  3. 1917
  4. Parasite
  5. Little Women
I know that Joker has had more of a presence here than Little Women, but I think that the period-piece appeal of Little Women will overthrow it here, but that's probably the only time I'll say that regarding Joker.

Best Costume Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Little Women
  3. Dolemite Is My Name
  4. The Irishman
  5. Rocketman
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  1. Joker
  2. Bombshell
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. 1917
  5. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
EDIT, JAN 12, 11:36pm: I decided to take Downton Abbey out of the #5 slots of both Costume Design and Makeup and Hairstyling basically last minute as I don't think the film really has the steam to get in anymore.

Best Visual Effects
  1. Avengers: Endgame
  2. The Lion King
  3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
  4. Alita: Battle Angel
  5. Terminator: Dark Fate
Best Sound Mixing
  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Joker
  4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Sound Editing
  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. Joker
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Animated Film
  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Frozen II
  3. Missing Link
  4. I Lost My Body
  5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Best International Film
  1. Parasite
  2. Pain and Glory
  3. Les Misérables
  4. Atlantics
  5. Those Who Remained
Best Documentary Film
  1. American Factory
  2. For Sama
  3. Honeyland
  4. One Child Nation
  5. Maiden
Best Live Action Short Film
  1. The Neighbor's Window
  2. Brotherhood
  3. Little Hands
  4. Miller and Son
  5. Refugee
Best Animated Short Film
  1. Hair Love
  2. Kitbull
  3. Dcera (Daughter)
  4. The Physics of Sorrow
  5. Mind My Mind
Best Documentary Short Subject
  1. Learning to Skateboard in a War Zone
  2. Fire in Paradise
  3. Stay Close
  4. St. Louis Superman
  5. Ghosts of Sugar Land