Monday, February 10, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Final Thoughts

"Once you get past the 1-inch tall barrier of subtitles, you will be introduced to so many more amazing films." - Three-time Academy Award Winning Director Bong Joon-ho

Parasite has cemented itself as not only a history maker, but also as one of the greatest Best Picture winners in the Academy's history, and the category's first non-english victor. Winning 4 Oscars altogether, also including a surprise win in Best Director over Sam Mendes who had been winning everything else, Bong Joon-ho's brilliant film proved to be the favorite of even subtitle-hating voters, cementing its status as a soon to be classic that will looked up to for years to come. Also, shout out to Bong's translator Sharon Choi, who's film about the awards season is one I'll be watching for!

The rest of the show's winners proved to be mostly satisfactory as well, albeit pretty predictable.

First, however, let me start with the 4 acting winners, easily the most predictable wins of the bunch, and honestly a little underwhelming this year considering who they were up against. Joaquin Phoenix won Lead Actor for Joker, a win that will certainly be divisive years from now as it is currently, though I'm glad that he took this one even with his competition, although he's been better before (*cough* The Master *cough*). Then Renée Zellweger won Lead Actress for Judy, and this is where I get disappointed. She was great, despite her film being more of the opposite, but when compared to Saoirse Ronan in Little Women and Scarlett Johansson in Marriage Story she was easily forgettable. Finally we have our Supporting winners Brad Pitt and Laura Dern, with Pitt winning for a great performance, but one I don't think should've won over Joe Pesci or Al Pacino, and Dern winning for one I just don't see the awards love for, but at least she has an Oscar I guess.

Tech category winners, on the other hand, were pretty deserving. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood won Best Production Design for easily the best recreation of golden-age Hollywood ever, with sets that glowed with personality and charm; a very deserving win in my book. And Little Women very thankfully took home Best Costume Design, another well-earned win, though I more happy that the film won at least something than I am that it won for costumes specifically.

Film Editing was awarded to Ford v Ferrari, which was...a decision. Look, I think the film is fine, but the editing outside of the racing scenes was nothing special, and it honestly should've trimmed its runtime down more. I think editing was far more notable in Parasite and The Irishman. But I am fine with it surprising in Sound Editing over 1917, so I'm not too bitter towards it.

Speaking of 1917, the film many expected to be tonight's big winner only to be Bonged, the film unsurprisingly took home Best Cinematography, giving Roger Deakins another deserving Oscar. It also won for Best Visual Effects, which were basically unnoticeable in the film, which is typically a sign that good effects were present. Sadly, Thomas Newman was shut out again, with Joker winning Best Original Score instead, which had a good score, but I swear, Newman could resurrect Beethoven and the Academy wouldn't care.

Finally, Jojo Rabbit was this year's solo screenplay winner, getting comedy filmmaker Taika Waititi his first win, which. And even though I didn't love the film, I must admit that I am happy for the guy.

Welp, that all of the wins that each of the major nominees this year had! Except for The Irishman of course, which won for.....uh.....


Man, this hurts. It's no secret at this point that Scorsese's latest was my favorite film of last year, and watching it get rejected not only by the Oscar, but by other awards shows as well has been rough. It's surprising too; given how far Netflix went to campaign and how beloved it's been online, but I suppose it's what it is.

Thankfully, Bong Joon-ho once again made the night, as during his acceptance speech for Best Director, he quoted and praised Martin Scorsese, prompting the entire audience to give the legend a standing ovation. In all honesty, that's probably better than any Oscar win can ever be.

See you next year folks, and in the meantime I'm gonna be saving up my money to buy 10 copies of The Irishman's Criterion Collection release.

Sunday, February 9, 2020

Oscars 2020 - Final Predictions


The time has come. Here are my final predictions for the Oscars 2020.
(NOTE: Films with an asterisk (*) next to them are my personal picks for their respective category)
(ALSO NOTE: I might change some of these mere hours before the show starts because I'm a coward, and if I do I'll leave a note under the changed category saying that I did with an explanation)

Best Picture
  1. Parasite
  2. 1917
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. The Irishman*
  5. Jojo Rabbit
  6. Joker
  7. Marriage Story
  8. Little Women
  9. Ford v Ferrari
It's clear that this race is almost entirely between 1917 and Parasite at this point, with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood trailing close behind. And 1917 seems like the frontrunner with PGA and DGA wins, I think the preferential ballot will be kind to Parasite. The only thing really holding it back is the fact that it's a non-english film competing in a year where the possibility for major diversity was basically ignored. But, considering the love it's been able to garner from not just awards guilds but from literally everyone who can read period, I think we're about to see history right there.

Best Director
  1. Sam Mendes - 1917
  2. Bong Joon-ho - Parasite
  3. Martin Scorsese - The Irishman*
  4. Quentin Tarantino - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Todd Phillips - Joker
Best Lead Actor
  1. Joaquin Phoenix - Joker*
  2. Adam Driver - Marriage Story
  3. Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
  4. Leonardo DiCaprio - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Jonathan Pryce - The Two Popes
Best Lead Actress
  1. Renée Zellweger - Judy
  2. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story
  3. Saoirse Ronan - Little Women*
  4. Cynthia Erivo - Harriet
  5. Charlize Theron - Bombshell
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. Joe Pesci - The Irishman*
  3. Al Pacino - The Irishman
  4. Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
  5. Anthony Hopkins - The Two Popes
Best Supporting Actress
  1. Laura Dern - Marriage Story
  2. Florence Pugh - Little Women*
  3. Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit
  4. Margot Robbie - Bombshell
  5. Kathy Bates - Richard Jewell
Best Original Screenplay
  1. Parasite*
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Marriage Story
  4. Knives Out
  5. 1917
Parasite is clearly the crowd favorite here, especially after WGA and BAFTA wins, but the Academy's Tarantino love could easily pull through, especially given his film is about Hollywood. I'm tempted to go Hollywood here, but considering that Parasite is looking like the bigger player as of late and that it could very well win Best Picture, I'll go with that instead, but I won't be surprised if I'm wrong.

Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Jojo Rabbit
  2. Little Women
  3. The Irishman*
  4. Joker
  5. The Two Popes
Jojo Rabbit has gained some major momentum over Little Women after taking home the previously mentioned awards Parasite did. And films with the WGA and BAFTA combo here have rarely, if not ever lost the Oscar, so Taika Waititi better have a speech ready.

Best Film Editing
  1. Ford v Ferrari
  2. Parasite
  3. The Irishman*
  4. Joker
  5. Jojo Rabbit
Best Cinematography
  1. 1917
  2. Joker
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. The Irishman
  5. The Lighthouse*
Best Original Score
  1. Joker
  2. 1917
  3. Little Women*
  4. Marriage Story
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Original Song
  1. "I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away" - Toy Story 4
  2. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again" - Rocketman
  3. "Stand Up" - Harriet
  4. "Into the Unknown" - Frozen II
  5. "I'm Standing With You" - Breakthrough
Probably my riskiest prediction here. Although Rocketman's success here in precursors shows, it doesn't seem like the Academy will go for it, especially after it was left out in all other categories. The three I listed below it don't feel like winners to me either. That leaves Toy Story 4, which just snuck in here last minute, and given the Academy's past love for Pixar songs and that this is a short season in general, I think it's a bet worth playing. I'm a natural Howard Ratner!

Best Production Design
  1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  2. 1917
  3. Parasite*
  4. The Irishman
  5. Jojo Rabbit
It doesn't quite feel right that Once Upon a Time in Hollywood wins Supporting Actor and Production Design only as the combo just seems odd to me. However, given that we see this result for Lincoln, I think I'll stick by it. If not, then there's three possibilities: it also takes costumes (which I find unlikely as I think all the Best Picture nominees are winning something), it loses this category to 1917 (or possibly Parasite, but I doubt it), or it also wins Original Screenplay over Parasite, effectively making 1917 the Best Picture winner.

Best Costume Design
  1. Little Women*
  2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  3. Jojo Rabbit
  4. The Irishman
  5. Joker
Playing it safe and sticking with Jacqueline Durran winning her second Oscar, but don't be surprised if Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or Jojo Rabbit win instead (Hollywood in particular), especially considering that this category is all over the place this year.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  1. Bombshell
  2. Joker
  3. Judy
  4. 1917*
  5. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Best Visual Effects
  1. The Irishman*
  2. 1917
  3. Avengers: Endgame
  4. The Lion King
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
This category is pretty much between 1917 and The Irishman. 1917 has the advantage in that it's won the BAFTA, but I feel that The Irishman will prevail despite the de-aging's divisiveness, especially after it's Visual Effects Society win for Best Supporting Effects, which lead major awards players from previous years Hugo and last year's First Man to win here despite losing BAFTA, Critics Choice, etc. 

Best Sound Mixing
  1. 1917*
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  4. Ad Astra
  5. Joker
Best Sound Editing
  1. 1917*
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Joker
  4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Best Animated Film
  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Klaus
  3. Missing Link
  4. I Lost My Body
  5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Best International Film
  1. Parasite*
  2. The Rest
Best Documentary Feature
  1. American Factory
  2. For Sama
  3. Honeyland
  4. The Edge of Democracy
  5. The Cave
Best Live Action Short Film
  1. The Neighbor's Window
  2. Brotherhood
  3. Nefta Football Club
  4. Saria
  5. A Sister
Best Animated Short Film
  1. Hair Love
  2. Kitbull
  3. Memorable
  4. Sister
  5. Daughter
Best Documentary Short Subject
  1. Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)
  2. St. Louis Superman
  3. In the Absence
  4. Walk Run Cha-Cha
  5. Life Overtakes Me
IN SHORT:
  • I'm being risky and saying Parasite will make history instead of 1917 prevailing
  • Acting winners are insanely predictable
  • Costume Design is a tricky race
  • All 9 Best Picture nominees will win something
  • The Academy probably still loves Pixar songs
  • Insert 6th point with quirky comment here