It's later than I typically do this, but with TIFF in action and Telluride and Venice wrapped up, now feels like a good time to throw in my no-confidence yet still kinda have an idea of what could end up happening Oscar predictions. Let's go:
- The Humans
- The Power of the Dog
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- The Hand of God
- Belfast
- Licorice Pizza
- Spencer
- Dune
- Cyrano
- The Survivor
Best Director
- Paolo Sorrentino for The Hand of God
- Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
- Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
- Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
Best Lead Actor
- Ben Foster in The Survivor
- Denzel Washington in The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Peter Dinklage in Cyrano
- Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog
- Will Smith in King Richard
Best Lead Actress
- Kristen Stewart in Spencer
- Haley Bennett in Cyrano
- Lady Gaga in House of Gucci
- Jennifer Hudson in Respect
- Jennifer Lawrence in Don't Look Up
Best Supporting Actor
- Bradley Cooper in Licorice Pizza
- Richard Jenkins in The Humans
- Corey Hawkins in The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Danny DeVito in The Survivor
- Jonah Hill in Don't Look Up
Best Supporting Actress
- Kirsten Dunst in The Power of the Dog
- Caitriona Balfe in Belfast
- Frances McDormand in The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Jayne Houdyshell in The Humans
- Vicky Krieps in The Survivor
Best Original Screenplay
- Belfast
- Licorice Pizza
- Spencer
- The Hand of God
- Last Night in Soho
Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Humans
- The Power of the Dog
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Dune
- Passing
Best Film Editing
- The Survivor
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- The Hand of God
- The Humans
- Belfast
Best Cinematography
- Dune
- The Hand of God
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- The Power of the Dog
- Spencer
Best Original Score
- Spencer
- Dune
- The French Dispatch
- The Power of the Dog
- Licorice Pizza
Best Original Song
- "Colombia, Mi Encanto" from Encanto
- "Be Alive" from King Richard
- "No Time to Die" from No Time to Die
- "Beyond the Shore" from CODA
- "So May We Start" from Annette
Best Production Design
- Cyrano
- Dune
- Spencer
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Belfast
Best Costume Design
- Cyrano
- Spencer
- Dune
- Cruella
- House of Gucci
Best Makeup & Hairstyling
- Dune
- The Eyes of Tammy Faye
- Cruella
- Cyrano
- House of Gucci
Best Visual Effects
- Dune
- Eternals
- Godzilla vs. Kong
- Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
- Nightmare Alley
Best Sound
- Cyrano
- Dune
- The Survivor
- The Power of the Dog
- Nobody
Best International Film
- The Hand of God
- A Hero
- Parallel Mothers
- Happening
- 7 Prisoners
Best Animated Film
- Encanto
- Luca
- Flee
- The Mitchells vs. the Machines
- Where is Anne Frank?