It's later than I typically do this, but with TIFF in action and Telluride and Venice wrapped up, now feels like a good time to throw in my no-confidence yet still kinda have an idea of what could end up happening Oscar predictions. Let's go:
- The Humans
 - The Power of the Dog
 - The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - The Hand of God
 - Belfast
 - Licorice Pizza
 - Spencer
 - Dune
 - Cyrano
 - The Survivor
 
Best Director
- Paolo Sorrentino for The Hand of God
 - Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
 - Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
 - Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
 
Best Lead Actor
- Ben Foster in The Survivor
 - Denzel Washington in The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Peter Dinklage in Cyrano
 - Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog
 - Will Smith in King Richard
 
Best Lead Actress
- Kristen Stewart in Spencer
 - Haley Bennett in Cyrano
 - Lady Gaga in House of Gucci
 - Jennifer Hudson in Respect
 - Jennifer Lawrence in Don't Look Up
 
Best Supporting Actor
- Bradley Cooper in Licorice Pizza
 - Richard Jenkins in The Humans
 - Corey Hawkins in The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Danny DeVito in The Survivor
 - Jonah Hill in Don't Look Up
 
Best Supporting Actress
- Kirsten Dunst in The Power of the Dog
 - Caitriona Balfe in Belfast
 - Frances McDormand in The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Jayne Houdyshell in The Humans
 - Vicky Krieps in The Survivor
 
Best Original Screenplay
- Belfast
 - Licorice Pizza
 - Spencer
 - The Hand of God
 - Last Night in Soho
 
Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Humans
 - The Power of the Dog
 - The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Dune
 - Passing
 
Best Film Editing
- The Survivor
 - The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - The Hand of God
 - The Humans
 - Belfast
 
Best Cinematography
- Dune
 - The Hand of God
 - The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - The Power of the Dog
 - Spencer
 
Best Original Score
- Spencer
 - Dune
 - The French Dispatch
 - The Power of the Dog
 - Licorice Pizza
 
Best Original Song
- "Colombia, Mi Encanto" from Encanto
 - "Be Alive" from King Richard
 - "No Time to Die" from No Time to Die
 - "Beyond the Shore" from CODA
 - "So May We Start" from Annette
 
Best Production Design
- Cyrano
 - Dune
 - Spencer
 - The Tragedy of Macbeth
 - Belfast
 
Best Costume Design
- Cyrano
 - Spencer
 - Dune
 - Cruella
 - House of Gucci
 
Best Makeup & Hairstyling
- Dune
 - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
 - Cruella
 - Cyrano
 - House of Gucci
 
Best Visual Effects
- Dune
 - Eternals
 - Godzilla vs. Kong
 - Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
 - Nightmare Alley
 
Best Sound
- Cyrano
 - Dune
 - The Survivor
 - The Power of the Dog
 - Nobody
 
Best International Film
- The Hand of God
 - A Hero
 - Parallel Mothers
 - Happening
 - 7 Prisoners
 
Best Animated Film
- Encanto
 - Luca
 - Flee
 - The Mitchells vs. the Machines
 - Where is Anne Frank?